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Analysis

Program Cuts and Tariff Costs Will Leave Many Kentucky Families Worse Off, Even with Modest Tax Cuts 

Program Cuts and Tariff Costs Will Leave Many Kentucky Families Worse Off, Even with Modest Tax Cuts 

Patience Martin | June 3, 2025

On Thursday, May 22nd, the House of Representatives passed its major tax and spending legislation, which included last-minute revisions that made it even more favorable for the wealthy. The tax provisions discussed in our analysis of a prior version of the bill remain, but it now includes an additional increase in the deduction for State and Local Taxes (SALT), which will mostly benefit high-income, wealthy households. When combined with record-setting cuts to safety net programs and increased household costs due to tariffs, this bill ensures that those struggling to make ends meet will continue to do so.

The final version of the House budget significantly widens the gap between the wealthy and everyone else by providing 63% of the benefit from tax cuts to the top 20% of earners, as shown in the graph below.

More On Budget & Tax: On Session’s Final Day, Lawmakers Pass New Tax Breaks for Already-Subsidized Industries

richest 20 percent

The wealthiest 1% of Kentuckians would receive an average net tax cut of close to $54,000, which equates to around $1,000 per week. That’s compared to just $110, or $2 per week, for the bottom 20%.

low income kentuckians

For the bottom 40% of households, these modest average savings are likely to be canceled out, or even exceeded, by price increases due to new tariff policies, according to analysis by the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy. This analysis does not even factor in the widespread harm that will come to Kentucky families as a result of deep cuts to programs like Medicaid and SNAP included in the bill.

Overall, when considered alongside the administration’s new tariffs and cuts to vital programs providing health care and food assistance, this bill is anything but beautiful for all but the wealthiest Kentuckians.

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Perspectives

There Is a Choice Hidden in the Pages of the Next State Budget

Affordability Is a Crisis for Kentuckians. Here’s What State Leaders Can Do About It.

The Fight in D. C. Is About Making Life, and Health Care, More Affordable 

Make No Mistake, The Big Beautiful Bill Weakens Medicaid

The BlueOval SK Union Vote Is a Fight for All Kentucky Workers

Other Budget & Tax Items

hidden choice

Analysis

On Session’s Final Day, Lawmakers Pass New Tax Breaks for Already-Subsidized Industries

final budget analysis

Analysis

Budget Agreement Cuts and Freezes Funding for Most Services, Continues to Underfund Medicaid

dcbd cuts

Analysis

Budget Cuts Will Harm Services That Benefit Children

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